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Affinity North - Financial Services Engineering  and Quantitative Recruitment

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(973) 866-5800
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Affinity North - Financial Services Engineering  and Quantitative Recruitment

  • About
  • Advice for Grads
  • Resume Advice
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  • Contact

PETER'S Q1 2026 MARKET REPORT

March 12, 2026 Peter Wagner

LinkedIn just published “LinkedIn Jobs on the Rise 2026: The 25 fastest-growing roles in the U.S.” AI related roles dominate the list to nobody’s surprise:

1. AI Engineers
2. AI Consultants & Strategists
4. Data Annotators (cleaning data for LLM input)
5. AI/ML Researchers

After lagging the broader trend for years, our practice is now seeing substantially more of these positions. AI Consultants and Strategists is an interesting category. Everybody now claims to be an expert despite the newness of the technology and the lack of clarity around how it will evolve and how to implement it with the technology evolving so rapidly. A friend of mine has been a language and systems guru for decades. Asked in a recent seminar on implementing AI in Java, “What are best practices?” His answer was simple, “There are none.”

AI Consultants and Strategists is an interesting category. Everybody now claims to be an expert despite the newness of the technology, the lack of clarity around how it will evolve, and how to implement it with the technology evolving so rapidly. A friend of mine has been a software engineering and systems guru for decades. Asked in a recent seminar on implementing AI, “What are best practices?” His answer was simple, “There are none.”

2025 was a great year for financial firms with trading, M&A, and lending all having great years. Stock prices are up, bonuses were good, and hiring is… tepid at best. Morgan Stanley just laid off 3% of its workforce, and Goldman Sachs is predicted to follow. That said, these firms are hiring, so perhaps the layoffs are just healthy culling and trimming those groups where AI is having an early impact. I have included the chart below many times in this report, as it's helpful to see the bank hiring trends at a macro level. The chart starts with Covid, ramps into the post Covid hiring boom, sharply dips after the boom, and then eases into The Malaise. Yes, I just coined that. Banks are keeping a tight rein on headcount and hoping to do more with technology (hint, AI).

Number of Bank Job Openings New York Metro

Meanwhile, the Buy Side is also thriving, with net inflows positive in 2025 for the first time in several years. Per Goldman, “Hedge funds returned an average of 11.8% last year and 11.9% in 2024. They have now outperformed a traditional balanced 60/40 equity-bond portfolio every year since the Federal Reserve started raising rates in 2022.” Further, “Almost half of the allocators surveyed (49%) say they plan to increase their exposure to hedge funds this year, up from 37% a year earlier, and just 4% say they plan to decrease exposure.” Unlike at banks, these results and inflows have spurred hiring. We have a very healthy hiring pipeline among our hedge fund clients. Year over year, we see about 25% more job postings across our buy side clients. Current hiring is the most robust we’ve experienced since early 2022.

More broadly, Indeed job posting data is showing that demand for software engineers rose 11% year-over-year in early 2026.

Computer Science

If the current market for quants and software engineers is improving, what’s happening here: If you want to be unemployed when you graduate, study computer science:. “CS graduates from 2023 in the UK reported an average unemployment rate of 9.7%. This was, by some margin, the highest unemployment rate (by subject area).”

Is Computer Science really a rotten field now? Has AI already taken over? Clearly, not. The fact of the matter is that we’re graduating way more computer science grads in recent years, and in a slow job market, the percentages look unfavorable.

Decade-by-Decade Trends

  • 1960s–1970s: Emergence as a distinct academic discipline, with graduates numbering in the low thousands.

  • 1980s: Initial boom due to the personal computer explosion; peaked around 1986 with over 42,000 bachelor's degrees.

  • 1990s: Decline after the 1980s peak, hitting a low of 24,553 in 1994, followed by a surge toward the end of the decade.

  • 2000s: Peak in 2003 (57,926), followed by a sharp drop-off to roughly 28,000 by 2008-2009 after the dot-com bubble burst.

  • 2010s–Present: A massive surge began post-2009, driven by mobile technology, data, and AI, surpassing the 2003 peak by 2015 and reaching 112,720 in the 2022-2023 academic year. 

  • Recent Surge: As of 2023, computer science has shown the highest increase in bachelor's earners compared to other fields. 

This growth has universities disgorging more graduates into a tepid hiring market owing to 1) uncertain economy 2) slow-down from pre and post-covid hiring binges, 3) AI Paralysis – not knowing how to move forward when the state of the art is shifting so rapidly.

Will AI Take Your Job?

Kyle Downey, VP of Product Strategy at Talus, and one of the smartest guys I know, wrote me last week: If you are a software developer and AI doesn't make you more, not less, valuable, you are doing something wrong.

Another senior technologist noted that AI shifts the focus more to developing core building blocks for AI to leverage. Taking it further, “Box CEO Aaron Levie advises developers to stop building software for humans and start building for the "trillions of agents" taking over enterprise work.

You won’t get paid for building basic websites anymore (I wrote my first web app yesterday with Claude Code in a few minutes – wow). But our practice has always been on hardcore engineering, and Herb Sutter predicts that’s not going away, quite the contrary.

Things are hard for graduates, however. A CTO of a $100M ARR startup reports zero junior hires since 2024, with senior employees now 3x more productive.

And if it wasn’t enough to try to comprehend where it’s all going, now there’s research that shows that overseeing your AI Agents leads to Brain Fry. This phenomenon feels like a confirmation of Jevon’s Paradox, but it doesn’t sound like AI is making your job easier…

The Innermost Loop is a brilliant blog from Alex Wissner-Gross that has become critical daily reading for me, if only to remind me how fast things are moving and how ever -farther behind I am…

Decent Return for Doubters

The world is all about prediction markets these days. I just had my first candidate tell me today that he has an offer from Kalshi, a new player in the market for elite talent. The stories are endless. If you were really sure Jesus was not returning last year, you could have netted a 5.5% gain betting on Polymarket. And if you know top secret military secrets, you can profit from that too. Hedge funds are paying attention, ingesting data from these markets.

The Rest of the Interview

Our candidates put a lot of energy into interview prep, necessarily. Leetcode, probability, statistics, etc. A good portion of the interview process for SE/QD/QR roles is coding, math, and problem solving, which we’ve stressed for years. However, in what has been a challenging job market for the past several years, the rest of the interview slate has grown in importance. Firms are more selective in this buyer’s market. Once you pass the technical rounds, you’re not home free. You also need to be good at Behavioral Interviews and clue into what an interviewer is looking for beyond intelligence.

“Advice from 6 quant executives on succeeding in systematic trading — and in life” from Business Insider shares the attributes of success from six leaders in our field. A few notable quotes:

·         Geoffrey Lauprete (Cubist): “what I'm really impressed by are candidates who have a structured thought process, can clearly articulate why they played an important role in previous mandates, and can bring passion to their story.”

·         John Gogman (Tower): “the challenge isn't just in finding technically gifted people, but those who also have the right demeanor and social IQ — a combo that ‘is infinitely harder and far more valuable.’”

·         Mike Tiano (Schonfeld): “An important trait is just obsessive curiosity about problems, especially outside of finance. Because there's a lot of cross-fertilization that goes on.”

The common thread is that it takes more than smarts to get ahead. Create a story bank of 6-8 experiences you can discuss and practice how to use those stories to demonstrate the desired characteristics. You don’t want to make up your answers to behavioral questions on the spot. Practice your answers and bounce them off somebody else for practice (human and bot).

Current Priorities

SE: Software Engineer

QD: Quantitative Developer

QR: Quantitative Researcher

HF: Hedge Fund

FinTech

Buy Side

Business Analyst

  • Business Analyst, Equities

  • Senior Business Analyst - Equity PM Onboarding

Data Science/AI

  • AI Implementation Lead

  • Applied AI Engineer

  • Credit Fundamental Data Researcher

  • Data Scientist, Proprietary Research

  • Lead AI SE

  • MLE - AI Implementation -Python

  • MLE - Senior Gen AI Engineer - Python/Java/C++

  • MLE, GenAI Technology - Python/Java/C++

  • NLP Engineer - Python

  • QD - GenAI - Python

  • QD - ML Engineering - Python

  • QR - Macro Data

  • SE - Al Engineer - NLP - Python

  • Senior Data Scientist

DevOps

  • SE - Observability

  • SE - Reliability Engineering

Infra

  • Infrastructure - Colo

  • Infrastructure - Compute and Storage

  • Infrastructure - Windows and Virtualization

Project/Program Manager

  • Commodities

  • Developer Experience: Program Manager

Quantitative Developer

  • Architect/SE - Macro

  • QD - Low-latency Building Blocks

  • QD - Portfolio Construction

  • QD - Quant Building Blocks

  • Senior QD - Quant Building Blocks

Quantitative Researcher

  • Credit and Structured Products

  • QR - CTA/Short-Term

  • QR - Equity

  • QR - Equity Mid/Low Frequency

  • QR - Experienced Desk Strat

  • QR - Fixed Income

  • QR - Intraday Statistical Arbitrage

  • QR - Low Latency

  • QR - Macro

  • QR - Medium Frequency

  • QR - Microstructure

  • QR - ML

  • QR - ML Alpha Research - Junior

  • QR - Power Dispatch Modeling

  • QR - Rates/FX

  • QR - Research Engineer

  • QR - Systematic

  • QR - Systematic Credit

  • QR - Trading Strategies

  • QR - Volatility

Software Engineer

  • SE - Compliance Technology - KDB

  • SE - Convertibles - C#

  • SE - Data Engineer - Python

  • SE - Data Science - C++|Python|Java

  • SE - Enterprise Platform Engineering - C++|Python|Java

  • SE - Execution - Java

  • SE - Execution Developer, Macro - Java

  • SE - Full-Stack Engineer - Typescript

  • SE - Fundamental Research - Typescript

  • SE - KDB/Q

  • SE - Knowledge Graph Engineer - Python

  • SE - Lead SE - Java

  • SE - Macro Analytics - C++/Python

  • SE - Post Trade - Agnostic

  • SE - Proprietary Research Data - Python

  • SE - Risk Engineering - Python

  • SE - Senior Data Engineer - Proprietary - Python

  • SE - Software Engineer, Macro Data Technology - C#

  • SE - Systematic Trading - Java

  • SE - Trading Engineering - C/C++/Rust

  • SE - Trading Infrastructure - C++

  • SE - Senior Java SE/Architect - Distributed Systems Optimization

Software Engineering Manager

  • Head of RefData/Security Master

  • Database Technology Senior Manager

  • Risk Technology - Python

  • Senior SE Market Data - C++

  • Senior Technical Lead – Equities Desktop - Node/Angular 

SRE

  • SRE

Support

  • Support - Trade Flow


Sell Side

  • Knowledge Graph Lead - ED

  • Low-latency C++ SE – Equities

PETER'S Q3 2025 MARKET REPORT →

Contact us: info@affinityny.com

(973) 866-5800

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